IMF: India’s FY26 Growth Seen at 6.6%; FX Regime Reclassified

November 29, 2025

Current Context: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Article IV Consultation Report was released on November 27, 2025.

IMF: India’s FY26 Growth Seen at 6.6%; FX Regime Reclassified
  • It projects India’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth at 6.6% in FY26, up from 6.5% in FY25.
  • The report highlights strong Quarter 1 (Q1) FY26 growth of 7.8%, resilient demand, and Goods and Services Tax (GST) reforms.
  • Inflation is expected to remain low at 2.8% in FY26, supported by stable food prices.
  • The IMF reclassified India’s Foreign Exchange (FX) regime from “stabilized arrangement” to a “crawl-like arrangement.”
  • This reflects greater rupee flexibility with Reserve Bank of India (RBI) interventions to curb volatility.
  • The IMF also warned growth could slow to 6.2% in FY27.

Question:

Q.1 According to the IMF Article IV Consultation Report 2025, India’s GDP growth for FY26 is projected at:
a) 6.2%
b) 6.6%
c) 6.5%
d) 7.0%

Answer: b) The IMF projected India’s FY26 GDP growth at 6.6%, reflecting a slight improvement over the FY25 estimate.

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